18.3.18

Curly's daily summary of Savusavu weather Forecasts, plus Tropical Cyclone Watch.

Monday 19 March 2018 Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts,TC Watch

The following is Curly's  brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-

.Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and  other sources for

the area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands,  do not complain to  the messenger

 ( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong 

  1] Fiji Marine Weather Bulletin
Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi
at 5:30am on Monday the 19th of March 2018
Situation:
A southeast wind flow prevails over Fiji waters.
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters:
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots.  
Moderate seas
Further outlook:  East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Moderate
seas.
 
 
2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin;
 
Savusavu Today; Cloudy periods with brief showers..
 
 Savusavu tomorrow ; Brief showers.
 
 
 
3]  Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs )  for next 4 days,

at noon  each

Mon 19 Mar 2018         10 SE/E some showers becoming hvyin afternoon/evening overnight  10NNE/NE showers

Tue 20 Mar 2018         10 SSE//N fine  hvy-afternoon/evening

 showers overnight 10 N/WNW fine

Wed  21 Mar 2018          10 S/5WSW fine overnight 10 NNW

hvy showers

Thu 22 Mar 2018         10 SSE/WNW fine overnight 10 NNW/NNE

showers        

 

4] Grib files out 10 days  looking for Lows that

effect Savusavu ;-

Now we all know Gribs over 4 days are alittle suspect

but Gribs do often indicate

possible bad weather , there doesn't appear to be any

weather to worry about out past 4-10 days forward, although

a circular system developes to the NW of Vanuatu then it

appears to move S bringing rain to Savusavu , system over New Cal

 on26 Mar and moves SSE , not a problem for us.

 

From 5-10 days;- over day or night, or both  expected  

;Fri 23 Mar fine;Sat 24 Mar showers; Sun 25 Mar fine ??

Mon 26 Mar Hvy-Showers;Tues 27 Mar showers, Wed 28 Mar

Showers..

 
 
5] Monitoring Lows in Tropical Cyclone breeding areas

 TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 -DAY OUTLOOK

Equator to 25S and 160E to 120W

Issue Time:0400 UTC Sunday18thMarch2018

Next Issue:0400 UTC Monday19thMarch2018

Issued By: Tropical Cyclone Centre, RSMC,

Nadi.

Existing Tropical Cyclones:

Nil.

Likelihood for tropical cycloneformationin the region in

each of the next three days is Very Low.

 

6] Savusavu Tides;

High Tide                  0805   1.9

Low  Tide                1410    0.6

 

7] Fiji Met Weather Chart;-