19.3.18

Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts, plus Tropical Cyclone Watch;

Tuesday 20 March 2018 Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts,TC Watch

The following is Curly's  brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-

.Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and  other sources for

the area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands,  do not complain to  the messenger

 ( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong 

  1] Fiji Marine Weather Bulletin
Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi
at 5:30am on Tuesday the 20th of March 2018
Situation:
An east to southeast wind flow prevails over Fiji waters.
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters:
East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots.  
Moderate seas
Further outlook:  East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Moderate
seas.
 
 
2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin;
 
Savusavu Today; Fine apart from brief showers..
 
 Savusavu tomorrow ; Brief showers.
 
 
 
3]  Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs )  for next 4 days,

at noon  each

Tue 20 Mar 2018         10 SSE//NE fine  afternoon/evening

 showers overnight 10 N/NNW fine

Wed  21 Mar 2018          10 S/WNW fine overnight 10 N/NNW

showers

Thu 22 Mar 2018         10 SE/NE fine hvy/afternoon/evening showers overnight 10 N/NE showers

Fri 23 Mar 2018           10 ENE showers overnight 10 ESE showers

becoming hvy

 

4] Grib files out 10 days  looking for Lows that

effect Savusavu ;-

Now we all know Gribs over 4 days are alittle suspect

but Gribs do often indicate

possible bad weather , there doesn't appear to be any

weather to worry about out past 4-10 days forward, although

a circular system developes to the WNW of Vanuatu then it

appears to move S bringing rain to Savusavu , system over New Cal

 on25 Mar and moves SE , not a problem for us.

 

From 5-10 days;- over day or night, or both  expected  

;Sat 24 Mar showers; Sun 25 Mar hvy-showers

Mon 26 Mar Hvy-Showers;Tues 27 Mar Hvy-showers, Wed 28 Mar

Hvy-Showers..Thurs 29 Mar some showers

 
 
5] Monitoring Lows in Tropical Cyclone breeding areas

TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 -DAY OUTLOOK

Equator to 25S and 160E to 120W

Issue Time:0400 UTC Monday19thMarch2018

Next Issue:0400 UTC Tuesday20thMarch2018

Issued By: Tropical Cyclone Centre, RSMC,

Nadi.

Existing Tropical Cyclones:

Nil

A lowpressure system may develop near Solomon Islands.

It is expected to deepen .

Likelihood for tropical cycloneformation from thid system

 in each of the next three days, is 20 Mar Very low,

21 Mar Low,and 22 Mar Low.

The potential for formation of a Tropical Cyclone in the region

 from another system is VERY LOW

 

 

6] Savusavu Tides;

High Tide                  0844   1.9

Low  Tide                1459    0.6

 

7] Fiji Met Weather Chart;-