Wednesday 21 March 2018 Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts,TC Watch
The following is Curly's brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-
.Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and other sources for
the area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands, do not complain to the messenger
( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong
1] Fiji Marine Weather Bulletin
Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi
at 5:30am on Wednesday the 21st of March 2018
Situation:
An east to southeast wind flow prevails over Fiji waters.
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters:
East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots.
Moderate seas
Further outlook: East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Moderate
seas.
2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin;
Savusavu Today; Fine apart from brief showers..
Savusavu tomorrow ; Brief showers.
3] Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs ) for next 4 days,
at noon each
Wed 21 Mar 2018 10 SSW/WNW fine hvy afternoon evening showers overnight 10 NNW/WNW fine??
Thu 22 Mar 2018 05/10 SSE/NE fine hvy/afternoon/evening showers overnight 05/10 ENE/NE showers
Fri 23 Mar 2018 10 ENE hvy-showers continues into evening
overnight 10 ENE showers
Sat 24 Mar 2018 10/15 ENE hvy-showers then hvy rain into evening, overnight 10/15 NNE/NE showers
4] Grib files out 10 days looking for Lows that
effect Savusavu ;-
Now we all know Gribs over 4 days are alittle suspect
but Gribs do often indicate
possible bad weather , there doesn't appear to be any
weather to worry about out past 4-10 days forward, although
a circular system developes to the SSW of Fiji it
appears to move SSE the ESE –SE under Fiji, it will bring rain to
Savusavu , not a problem for us.
From 5-10 days;- over day or night, or both expected
Sun 25 Mar showers Mon 26 Mar Showers;Tues 27 Mar showers,
Wed 28 Mar Hvy-Showers..Thurs 29 Mar Hvy-showersFri 30 Mar
Showers
5] Monitoring Lows in Tropical Cyclone breeding areas
TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 -DAY OUTLOOK
Equator to 25S and 160E to 120W
Issue Time:0400 UTC Tuesday 20th March2018
Next Issue:0400 UTC Wednesday21stMarch2018
Issued By: Tropical Cyclone Centre, RSMC,
Nadi.
Existing Tropical Cyclones:
Nil.
A low pressure system lies near Solomon Islands.
It is expected to deepen
Likelihood for tropical cyclone formation in the region in
each of the next three days is Wed 21 Mar-Low,
Thurs 22 Mar –Low, Fri 23 Mar is Moderate.
The potential for formation of a Tropical Cyclone in the region
from another system is VERY LOW
/6] Savusavu Tides;
High Tide 0926 1.9
Low Tide 1542 0.6
7] Fiji Met Weather Chart;-