16.12.18

Curly's daily summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts PLUS Tropical Cyclone Watch;-

Monday 17 December 2018

 Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts/Cyclone Watch!

We are now in the official 2018/2019 Cyclone Season, time to prepare your vessels, yourself and moorings!

The following is Curly's  brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-

.Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and  other sources for

the area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands,  do not complain to  the messenger

( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong

 

1] Marine Weather Forecast;

Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi at 4:13am on Monday the 17th of December 2018 
Situation: A weak trough of low pressure with cloud and showers remains slow moving over Fiji. Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure with cloud and showers is expected to affect the group from the north later today and affect the rest of the group by Tuesday. 
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters: Northwest to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Moderate seas. Moderate to southeast swells. 
Further outlook: Northwest to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Moderate seas. Moderate southeast swells. 
 
2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin; 
 
Savusavu Today;- Cloudy periods with isolated afternoon or evening showers and thunderstorm. 
 
Outlook for Tuesday : Occasional showers with isolated heavy falls and thunderstorms
 
 
 
 
3]  Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs )  for next 4 days

Mon 17 Dec 2018     10 WNW fine  Overnight  10 WNW fine poss showers..

Tue 18 Dec 2018      10 W/NNW hvy showers/rain Overnight 10 NNW

hvy-showers/rain

Wed 19 Dec 2018    10 SSW/SW showers-hvy-in afternoon

Overnight 10 SE/ESE showers

Thu 20 Dec 2018     10 ESE/ENE showers hvy in afternoon

Overnight 10 SSE/ENE showers 

 

4] Grib files out 10 days  looking for Lows/bad weather that

will effect Savusavu ;-Now we all know Gribs over 4 days are alittle

suspect but Gribs do often indicate possible bad weather, there does

not appear to be any  real troublesome weather BUT it appears we

may have a Wet  Christmas day, from Fri 21Dec winds 15/20 ,Showers,

,hvy showers, fine days Sat  22 and xmas eve, fingers crossed that

weather will improve for Christmas day and Boxing day!!!!

 

5] Tropical Cyclone Watch; There does not appear to be any

Intense Tropical Lows nor Cyclonic activity that will effect Savsavu,out

10 days however a weak low appears to start forming 26/27 Dec near

the Solomon Islands keep a watch on it.

 

 7] Savusavu Tides;

Low Tide  was at      0756   0.7
High Tide                  1434   1.7 
Low Tide                   2043   0.8
 
 
8] Weather Chart;-