22.5.17

Curly's daily summary of Savusavu weather forecasts

Tuesday 23 May 2017 Curly's Daily Summary of

Savusavu Weather Forecasts,

 
The following is Curly's  brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-

.Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and  other sources for

the area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands,  do not complain to  the messenger ( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong 

  
 1] Fiji Marine Weather Bulletin
Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi
at 5:30am on Tuesday the 23rd of May 2017
A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL FIJI WATERS.
Situation:
Situation: A trough of low pressure with associated cloud and rain
remains slow moving over the group. 
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters:
FOR SOUTHERN LAU, KORO SEAS, SOUTHWEST VITI LEVU, KADAVU AND
VATU-I-RA PASSAGE: 
East to southeast winds 20 to 30 knots, gusting to 35 knots.
Rough to very rough seas. 
Poor visibility in areas of heavy rain and thunderstorms.
Further outlook:  Easterly winds 20 to 25 knots.  Rough seas. 
For the rest of Fiji Waters:
Easterly wind 20 to 25 knots. Winds turning and becoming
northeasterly tomorrow.
Rough seas.  
Poor visibility in areas of heavy rain and thunderstorms.
 
Further outlook:   East to northeast winds 20 to 25 knots.  Rough
seas.
 
 
2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin;
 
Savusavu today, Periods of rain heavy at times and squally thunderstorms
.
Savusavu tomorrow; Rain and thunderstorms gradually easing 
 
       
3]  Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs )  for next 4 days,
at noon  each day.  
 

Tues     23 May 2017     15/25 Sw/NW hvy-rain  overnight  10/15 S/SSE showers

Wed      24 May 2017     15 SE fine overnight 10/15 SE/ESE fine

Thurs   25 May 2017      10/15 ESE fine overnight 15 E fine

Fri         26 May 2017     15 E/ENE fine overnight  15 E/ENE fine

 

4] Grib files out 10 days  looking for Lows;-
 Now we all know Gribs over 4 days are alittle suspect but 
Gribs do often give us indications of adverse weather  past 
4 days and out to 10 days. Currently Savusavu may get some 
 Hvy Raun  today decreasing this afternoon to showers 
 
5] Heavy Rain Warning;
  
 
 SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER SEVEN ON HEAVY RAIN ISSUED  FROM RSMC NADI AT 0400AM ON TUESDAY 23RD APRIL 2017. 
 
HEAVY RAIN WARNING
 
A HEAVY RAIN WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR KADAVU, EASTERN PARTS   OF VITI LEVU, EASTERN PARTS OF VANUA LEVU, TAVEUNI AND NEARBY   SMALLER ISLANDS, LOMAIVITI AND SOUTHERN LAU GROUP.
 
A HEAVY RAIN ALERT REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI.
 
SITUATION:
 
A SHALLOW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIES SLOW MOVING JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST   OF VITI LEVU. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF FIJI   AND EXIT THE SOUTHERN LAU WATERS BY LATER TODAY. ASSOCIATED ACTIVE  TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WITH RAIN AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUES TO AFFECT   FIJI. IT IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE GROUP TILL LATER TODAY.
 
FOR KADAVU, THE EASTERN PARTS OF VITI LEVU, EASTERN PARTS OF VANUA LEVU,   TAVEUNI AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS, LOMAIVITI AND SOUTHERN LAU GROUP:
PERIODS OF RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES AND SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS.
LOCALISED HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
 
FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP:
 
OCCASIONAL RAIN WITH ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 
RAINFALL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS (3AM MON TO 3AM TUE)
 
SUVA AWS STATION               156.5MM
LODONI AWS STATION             124.0MM
NASINU RAINFALL STATION               111.0MM
DOBUILEVU RAINFALL STATION     100.0MM
MONASAVU DAM                   91.0MM
NAVUA  AWS STATION             87.5MM
PENANG RAINFALL STATION               80.5MM
NAUSORI AIRPORT STATION        76.2MM
YASAWA I RARA STATION          55.6MM
NAVUA SABATA STATION            51.5MM
 
A FLOOD ALERTS REMAINS IN FORCE FOR PARTS OF FIJI. FOR MORE INFORMATION   OF FLOODING REFER TO http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20016.txt
 
THE NEXT SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN ON HEAVY RAIN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND   07.00 AM TODAY.
 
 
     
 6] Savusavu Tides-
 
Low  Tide                   1031    0.5m 
High Tide            1640    1.8m                         
 

7]Fiji Met Chart.