22.3.17

Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu weather forecasts.plus Tropical Cyclone watch

Thursday 23  March 2017 Curly's Daily Summary of

Savusavu Weather Forecasts, Tropical Cyclone Watch!!!

The following is Curly's  brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-.

Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and  other sources for the

area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands,  do not complain to  the messenger ( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong 

  
 1] Fiji Marine Weather Bulletin
Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi
at 5:30am on Thursday the 23rd of March 2017
Situation:
A trough of low pressure with cloud and rain remains slow moving over
Fiji. It is expected to gradually weaken.
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters:
East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Moderate to rough seas 
Further outlook:  East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Moderate to
rough seas.
.
 
 
 2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin;
 
Savusavu today; Occasional showers and isolated thunderstorms with heavy falls
 
 
Savusavu tomorrow; Occasional Showers and few thunderstorms.
       
3]  Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs )  for next 4 days,
at noon  each day.   
 

Thurs 23 Mar 2017    10 SE fine overnight 10/15 SE/ ESE fine  

Fri       24 Mar 2017    10/15 SE fine overnight 10 ESE fine  

Sat      25 Mar 2017    10 SE rain overnight 10 ESE showers

Sun    26 Mar 2017     10 SE /E showers overnight 10 E fine   

 

 4]  Tropical Cyclone-3 day Outlook,EQUATOR-25s, 160E-120W;-


TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 - DAY OUTLOOK

Equator to 25S and 160E to 120W

Issue Time:0400 UTC Wednesday 22ndMarch2017.

Next Issue:0400 UTC Thursday 23rdMarch2017

.

Issued By: Tropical Cyclone Centre, RSMC, Nadi

Existing Tropical Cyclones: Nil.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the region over

next three days,

The potential for tropical cyclone formation in the

area for the next three days, is VERY LOW

 


Tropical Disturbance Summary

NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED
OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.
 
   
Grib files out 10 days re TC or Tropical Lows;-

 Whilst the accuracy of Grib files over 3-4 days is questionable

Tropical systems normally do present some indicators, at the

 end of March we have weak circular activity near Samoa-monitor

 
5] Heavy Rain Warning;
 
There are no current warnings 
 
     
 6] Savusavu Tides-
 
Low  Tide                         0854    0.9 m
 
High Tide                         1315    1.7 m
 

 7]Fiji Met Chart