17.3.18

Curly's daily summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts, plus Tropical Cyclone Watch;-

Sunday 18 March 2018 Curly's Daily Summary of Savusavu Weather Forecasts,TC Watch

The following is Curly's  brief collective summary of Weather after reviewing all or part of the following;-

.Fiji Met Forecasts, Sopac, GFS gribs ,,MetVuw, ZY Gribs; US Navy –Pearl Harbor and  other sources for

the area of Savusavu –Fiji Islands,  do not complain to  the messenger

 ( Curly ) if the forecasts are wrong 

  1] Fiji Marine Weather Bulletin
Issued from the National Weather Forecasting Centre Nadi
at 5:30am on Sunday the 18th of March 2018
Situation:
A southeast wind flow prevails over Fiji waters.
Forecast to midnight tonight for Fiji waters:
Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots.  
Moderate to rough seas
Further outlook:  Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Moderate to rough
seas.
 
 
2] Fiji Met's Public Savusavu Bulletin;
 
Savusavu Today; Cloudy periods with brief showers..
 
 Savusavu tomorrow ; Brief showers.
 
 
 
3]  Savusavu Area Gribs ( Metvuw/zy Gribs )  for next 4 days,

at noon  each

Sun 18 Mar 2018         10 SE fine, overnight 10 ESE fine ???

Mon 19 Mar 2018         10 ESE/ENE some showers overnight

10NNE/N fine

Tue 20 Mar 2018         10 SSE/ENE showers hvy-afternoon/evening

 showers overnight 10 NW/NNW fine

Wed  21 Mar 2018          10 S/SW fine overnight 10 NNW/N showers

 

4] Grib files out 10 days  looking for Lows that

effect Savusavu ;-

Now we all know Gribs over 4 days are alittle suspect

but Gribs do often indicate

possible bad weather , there doesn't appear to be any

weather to worry about out past 4-10 days forward, although

a circular system developes to the NW of Vanuatu then it

appears to move S/SSW and strengthen , not a problem for us.

 

From 5-10 days;- over day or night, or both  expected  

Thurs 22 Mar Fine ;Fri 23 Mar showers.;

Sat 24 Mar showers; Sun 25 Mar hvy-showers;Mon 26 Mar

Showers;Tues 27 Mar fine.

 
 
5] Monitoring Lows in Tropical Cyclone breeding areas

TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 -DAY OUTLOOK

Equator to 25S and 160E to 120W

Issue Time:0400 UTC Saturday 17thMarch2018

Next Issue:0400 UTC Sunday18thMarch2018

Issued By: Tropical Cyclone Centre, RSMC,

Nadi.

Existing Tropical Cyclones:

Nil.

Likelihood for tropical cyclone oformation in the region in

each of the next three days is Very Low

 

6] Savusavu Tides;

High Tide was at    0728   1.8

Low  Tide                1330    0.6

 

7] Fiji Met Weather Chart;-